Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 69.5%
Previsori
3
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto15 nov 24, 08:51 UTC22 nov 19, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Robin Hanson receive the Nobel Prize in Economics?
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Manifold MarketsWill Eliezer Yudkowsky ever win a Nobel Prize?
Manifold MarketsNobel Prize in Literature: 2026
KalshiNobel Prize in Economics 2026
KalshiWill Helion Energy receive 1 or more INFUSE awards in FY2026?
ForecastExRegole
Resolves positively upon awarding of prize, negatively upon Alon's death.
Mercati aperti
Awards
POLYMARKETBallon d'Or Winner 2026
- Harry Kane-1.0pt62.4%
- Lamine Yamal13.9%
- Kylian Mbappé+0.6pt10.9%
+28 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 28,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 375K €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Ncaafheisman 26
- DMEN+2.0pt17%
- AMAN11%
- CCAR10%
+28 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 117,7K €
KALSHIThe Game Awards: 2026 Game of the Year
- Grand Theft Auto VI62.9%
- Resident Evil Requiem10.3%
- Control Resonant+1.0pt7.8%
+17 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETBallon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026
- Harry Kane+0.8pt94%
- Lamine Yamal-8.5pt77%
- Kylian Mbappé-8.0pt60%
+28 altri esiti
KALSHIMTV Video Music Awards: Best Alternative
- Olivia Rodrigo-4.0pt62.1%
- twenty one pilots+5.0pt14.7%
- Noah Kahan-6.0pt9.5%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 28,5K €
KALSHIMTV Video Music Awards: Best Latin
- Shakira & Burna Boy39.8%
- Bad Bunny-2.0pt30.6%
- Anitta with Shakira25%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 19,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 994,7 €
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best K-Pop
- MTV Video Music Awards: Song of The Year
- MLS: 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best New Artist
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Collaboration
- 2026 MTV Video Music Awards: Host
- MTV Video Music Awards: Video of the Year
- Grammy Winner: Best New Artist
- MTV Video Music Awards: Artist of The Year
- MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Country
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Dance
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Uri Alon ever receive a Nobel Prize??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 70% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Uri Alon ever receive a Nobel Prize??
- Will Uri Alon ever receive a Nobel Prize? dovrebbe risolversi il 22 novembre 2119.
- Come viene liquidato Will Uri Alon ever receive a Nobel Prize??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves positively upon awarding of prize, negatively upon Alon's death.