Will Trump threaten to restrict British access to Trident ballistic missiles before 2029?
Politica USAOne-Off2aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 71.1%
Previsori
12
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
17 feb 25, 06:00 UTC31 dic 28, 15:59 UTC
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The UK's nuclear deterrent relies heavily on US-supplied Trident ballistic missiles through the 1958 Mutual Defence Agreement (MDA).
- Unlike conventional weapons, the UK does not own these missiles outright but instead has title to a portion of a shared pool with the US Navy.
- This cooperation has been a cornerstone of US-UK defense relations for over 60 years.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if Donald Trump makes statements before 2029 that I, a reasonable centre-left British observer who will not bet, understand to contain an explicit or implicit threat to restrict British access to Trident missiles.
- Some examples of implicit threats:
