Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 95.8%
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9
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo24 ott 25, 21:51 UTC19 gen 29, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Trump get impeached by the House before the end of his 2nd term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump be impeached by the House again in his 2nd term?
Manifold MarketsTrump dies in office during his 2nd term?
Manifold MarketsNate Silver vs Manifold: Trump 2nd Term Predictions
Manifold MarketsWill SCOTUS end the White House ballroom injunction?
KalshiWhite House # posts October 30 - November 6, 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves YES if Trump tears down 90% or more of the original building as it stood at the end of Joseph Biden's term.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- If Trump rebuilds a lookalike with modern wiring and plumbing this still resolves YES.