Will Trump suggest renaming SLS to Trump Launch System (or similar)?
US PoliticsOne-OffTecnologiaSpace2aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 96%
Previsori
8
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto6 giu 25, 00:03 UTC21 gen 29, 01:01 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the Department of Government Efficiency recommend cancelling Blue Origin's Human Landing System before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump launch a coin by which date?
PolymarketDo the recent deaths/disappearances of NASA, nuclear research, & defense-related scientists suggest something sinister?
Manifold MarketsWill humans visit the Outer Solar System before Halley's Comet returns?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump nationalize SpaceX?
KalshiWill a sample from the Martian system be returned to Earth by an Asian space agency before a Western space agency?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolves YES if Donald Trump publicly suggests that the NASA vehicle currently known as Space Launch System / Orion be renamed to include the word "Trump".
- Either the rocket or the capsule or both must be the target of the suggestion.
- A smaller component or a mission (ex.
- Artemis 2) will not count.
- Resolves NO at noon on Jan 20th, 2029.
Mercati aperti
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7K €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 altri esiti
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume totale
- 24,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7K €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 54,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3K €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Trump suggest renaming SLS to Trump Launch System (or similar)??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 96% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Trump suggest renaming SLS to Trump Launch System (or similar)??
- Will Trump suggest renaming SLS to Trump Launch System (or similar)? dovrebbe risolversi il 21 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will Trump suggest renaming SLS to Trump Launch System (or similar)??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if Donald Trump publicly suggests that the NASA vehicle currently known as Space Launch System / Orion be renamed to include the word "Trump".