Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 97.7%
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21
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto11 mag 25, 03:16 UTC20 gen 29, 11:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Trump resign during his term?
KalshiWill Donald Trump resign as US President during his second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketWill Trump resign before 2027?
PolymarketWill 5 Republican members of Congress call for Trump to resign before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsTexas Senate winner?
KalshiRegole
This resolves YES if Donald Trump resigns voluntarily at any point before his 2nd term ends.
- It will count as long as his removal from office is due to him stepping down early, even if it appears he's under significant political pressure to do so or if it is evident that he would be removed anyway.
- The only President who has ever resigned is Nixon.
