Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Sì 59.2%
Previsori
11
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto12 dic 23, 05:26 UTC2 set 30, 06:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will a movie or TV show adaptation of the comic Bone be released before 2033?
Manifold MarketsWill wizards of the coast make/produce a magic: the gathering movie/Tv show by 2035?
Manifold Markets#1 Searched TV Show on Google 2026?
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KalshiRegole
Either fiction, biographical, or documentary.
- So for instance, a Klaus Teuber biopic or a Catan-themed gameshow would count.
- If it's a movie it has to be feature length though.
- Leaked tv pilots don't count as tv shows.
- But they might count as feature films if they're long enough.
- Edit: If it is a documentary it has to be either approved by Teuber's family, the game's publisher, or critically acclaimed.
Mercati aperti
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 342,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 91,2K €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 182,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 90,8K €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+25.1pt47.2%
- No Bond chosen-3.1pt18.9%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 altri esiti
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+8.0pt46%
- Jack Barton-4.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt18%
+27 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,8 Mln €
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 264,6K €
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-53.0pt14%
- Above 50-56.0pt8%
- Above 55-48.0pt2%
+14 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 84,3K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will there be a Settlers of Catan movie or tv show before September 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 59% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will there be a Settlers of Catan movie or tv show before September 2030??
- Will there be a Settlers of Catan movie or tv show before September 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 settembre 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Will there be a Settlers of Catan movie or tv show before September 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Either fiction, biographical, or documentary.