Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 83%
Previsori
13
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto30 dic 23, 20:33 UTC1 mar 50, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
Resolves to YES if a spacecraft completes a flyby of Neptune, or achieves orbital insertion, with at least one live human on board before January 1st, 2050.
- For the purpose of this market, a flyby of Neptune must occur within a distance of no more than 1 million kilometers from the planet.
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNi/will-there-be-a-crewed-mission-to-n-f447d8800dd3
- @/RemNi/will-there-be-a-crewed-mission-to-n-80f53d888d58
- @/RemNi/will-there-be-a-crewed-mission-to-n-1c5b2e348e1d
Mercati aperti
Space
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+2.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.4pt9%
- Google-0.7pt2%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 89,7K €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No55%
- Yes45%
- Volume totale
- 101,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 26,2K €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic-0.5pt72.5%
- OpenAI+0.5pt16.7%
- Google+0.5pt7.8%
+18 altri esiti
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-39.0pt41.5%
- Above 9-29.0pt34.1%
- Above 10-4.0pt10.6%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt47%
- June 30,+2.0pt41%
- February 28,27%
+4 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.6pt6%
- Volume totale
- 817,5K €
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will there be a crewed mission to Neptune before 2050??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 83% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will there be a crewed mission to Neptune before 2050??
- Will there be a crewed mission to Neptune before 2050? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 marzo 2050.
- Come viene liquidato Will there be a crewed mission to Neptune before 2050??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves to YES if a spacecraft completes a flyby of Neptune, or achieves orbital insertion, with at least one live human on board before January 1st, 2050.