Will the world become a global far-right dictatorship regime before 2400?
PoliticaOne-OffGeopoliticaElezioneManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 84.1%
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo21 set 26, 02:18 UTC31 dic 99, 07:30 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the world become a global far-right dictatorship regime in the 21st century?
Manifold MarketsWill the world become a global far-right dictatorship regime in the 22nd century?
Manifold MarketsWill the world become a global far-right dictatorship regime before 2060?
Manifold MarketsWill the world become a global far-right dictatorship regime before 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill China become the #2 global art market in 2026?
PolymarketIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any point before January 1, 2400, the world falls under the control of a global far-right dictatorship.
- To qualify, the following conditions must be met:
- Global Scale: A single unified world government, or a dominant hegemon/coalition of regimes, must exercise sovereign control over at least 80% of the global human population.
- Dictatorship/Autocracy: The governing entity must be a non-democratic autocracy or dictatorship, characterized by a lack of free and fair elections, severely restricted civil liberties, and concentrated executive power.
- This will be determined by the consensus of leading political science databases of the era (historically analogous to the V-Dem Institute or Freedom House).
