Will the US sovereign wealth fund invest in Blackstone or TPG by 2028?
AzioniOne-OffTecnologiaPolitica USA2a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 61.5%
No 61.5%Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto3 feb 25, 23:15 UTC1 gen 29, 05:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
Will resolve true if at any time a credible source reports money from the fund being directly invested in Blackstone/TPG directly, or a subsidiary of either.
- Will resolve false if this does not happen by December 31 2028 (including if the fund is not actually established)
- *I.e., not through an index
- **25 Aug 2025: will still resolve false if the shares are purchased directly by the USG and no fund is ever created
- Update 2025-02-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Direct Investment Clarification:
- Only a direct investment in Blackstone or TPG (or a subsidiary of either) qualifies as a resolution event.
