Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 69.2%
Previsori
14
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto30 ott 24, 14:15 UTC31 dic 50, 05:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will more than 50% of US population be convinced that free will is an illusion before year 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill 0.1% of the US population own a flying car by 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill the US population be >500M by 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill 1% of the US population own a flying car by 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill US carbon dioxide emmissions exceed 4,650 million metric tons in 2026?
ForecastExWill US carbon dioxide emmissions exceed 4,950 million metric tons in 2026?
ForecastExRegole
Resolves according to US census data.
- If the census ceases to publish data, the best available estimate will be used.
- Resolves NA if the US ceases to exist.
