Will the Trump administration restrict or control voting by midterms?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezioneElezioni di metà mandato USA 202615g
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 59%
Previsori
25
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 53 minuti fa
In ritardo16 mar 26, 16:42 UTC10 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Will there be any significant effort to restrict voting rights?
- These would include any photo ID laws or registration changes (such as SAVE America act).
- Canceling mail-in-voting would also count.
- Controlling vote counting or procedure through federalization would also resolve YES.
- If these actions are disputed in court or congress the market will resolve on whether it is active and has any de facto effect during November midterm elections.
- Update 2026-10-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): To resolve YES, there must be significant and widespread de facto effects: