Will the Trump administration militarize Baltimore before the 2026 Midterms?
One-OffPolitica USAGeopolitica3g
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 93.5%
Previsori
33
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo4 set 25, 12:27 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the Trump administration militarize Chicago before the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill the Trump administration militarize Los Angeles again before the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill the Trump administration militarize New York City before the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWho will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
PolymarketWill Katie Zacharia be officially given a new role in the Trump administration by December 31?
PolymarketWill the Trump administration be held in contempt over East Potomac in 2026?
KalshiRegole
This market resolves Yes if the Trump administration deploys any military assets such as the National Guard or the Marine Corps to the city of Baltimore, Maryland before November 4th 2026.
- Although there is no legal process for federalizing the police outside of Washington, DC, if the Trump administration for example successfully commandeers the Baltimore PD, this will also be considered sufficient for a Yes as the spirit of the market is about armed federal takeovers of US cities.
- Normal logistical movement of the military throughout the country does not count.
- Active service members must be in the streets, on camera, or otherwise uncontroversially described by a major news outlet as deployed in Baltimore in excess of what is normal, ie. a small military presence at a major airport on Christmas in line with past Homeland Security activity would not be sufficient.
- It is likely that Trump will be loudly and clearly declaring any such actions, so this market will probably have a clear resolution.
- Feel free to ask clarifying questions in the comments.