Will the south korean fertility rate increase in 2026?
One-OffSocietà e culturaSalute e medicinaMacro ed economia2mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 07:03 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeSì 88.4%
Previsori
23
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto27 dic 25, 16:57 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if South Korea's total fertility rate (children per woman) increases in 2026 compared to 2025.
- Resolution will be based on official data from Statistics Korea, published in early 2027.
- The fertility rate is measured as the average number of children a woman is expected to have over her lifetime based on age-specific birth rates for that calendar year.
- South Korea's fertility rate rose to 0.75 children per woman in 2024 from 0.72 in 2023, after eight consecutive years of decline from 1.24 in 2015.
- The rate reached 0.82 in the first quarter of 2025, up from 0.77 the year before, and rose to 0.85 in September 2025.
