Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 99%
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48
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto15 lug 26, 21:58 UTC15 ago 27, 21:54 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How many movies will gross >$1 billion in 2026?
Manifold Markets"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" grosses >$2.5 billion worldwide?
Manifold Markets"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" grosses >$2.6 billion worldwide?
Manifold MarketsRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiWhat will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
PolymarketWild Horse Nine · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiRegole
Resolution source: BoxOfficeMojo, "WORLDWIDE".
- For reference, "Oppenheimer" has a worldwide gross of $975,811,333.
- I won't necessarily wait to resolve until "The Odyssey" is no longer earning any money in theaters—I may resolve NO early if there have been multiple consecutive weeks with sufficiently small gross that the outcome is overwhelmingly clear.
Mercati aperti
Box Office / StreamingKALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 50+3.0pt99%
- Above 45-3.0pt96%
- Above 55+4.0pt94%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 314,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 33,6K €
POLYMARKETWhat will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
- Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 152%
- Crew Girl: Season 135%
- NFL Melbourne Game: 49ers vs. Rams30%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 586,3 €
KALSHIWild Horse Nine · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+11 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 76,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 455,5 €
KALSHIDisney+ App Downloads in September
- Above 11945%
- Above 123+2.0pt37%
- Above 12929%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 7,1K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETHow many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?
- 8M+95%
- 6M+58%
- 12M+55%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 30,1 €
KALSHIParamount+ App Downloads in September
- Above 7957%
- Above 82-1.0pt51%
- Above 8351%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 10,2K €
- Volume 24h
- Will SHREK 5 be delayed?
- How many people will attend Broadway shows during the 2026–27 season?
- Who will be the next Bond girl?
- What will be the top grossing movie in the US in 2026?
- Will The Batman: Part II be delayed?
- Will Avengers: Doomsday be delayed?
- Will Dune: Part Three be delayed?
- Will "Oasis: Don’t Look Back In Anger" earn more than $22M in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their openi
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" grosses >$2.5 billion worldwide?
- Will The Odyssey have a higher domestic PTA than Spider-Man on every remaining Tuesday in September?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will "The Odyssey" gross >$1 billion worldwide??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 99% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will "The Odyssey" gross >$1 billion worldwide??
- Will "The Odyssey" gross >$1 billion worldwide? dovrebbe risolversi il 15 agosto 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will "The Odyssey" gross >$1 billion worldwide??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution source: BoxOfficeMojo, "WORLDWIDE".