KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Above 119 45%-8.0ptIn testa tra 9 esiti
Qualità del mercato
35 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
87,7 €
Liquidità
5K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
50.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
31 ago 26, 21:00 UTC8 ott 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
If the Carbon Arc Disney+ App Downloads (September 2026) for September 2026 is the named outcome , then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Carbon Arc
- For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the first value reported by Carbon Arc.
- Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome.
- The index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Disney+ App Downloads was equal to the same month last year.
- Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company.
Mercati aperti
Box Office / StreamingKALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+12.0pt96%
- Above 50+33.0pt95%
- Above 55+36.0pt79%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 253,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 42,7K €
KALSHIParamount+ App Downloads in September
- Above 7957%
- Above 84+42.0pt54%
- Above 8252%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 10K €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWild Horse Nine · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+11 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 75,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 143,8 €
KALSHIHow many people will attend Broadway shows during the 2026–27 season?
- above 13,500,00090%
- above 13,750,00080%
- above 14,000,00074%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 107,9K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETWill Avengers: Doomsday be delayed?
- No+2.1pt96%
- Yes-2.1pt4%
- Volume totale
- 3,3K €
- Volume 24h
- —
POLYMARKETWill Shrek 5 be delayed?
- No+0.5pt87.1%
- Yes-0.5pt12.9%
- Volume totale
- 2,5K €
- Volume 24h
- —
- Will Dune: Part Three be delayed?
- Will "Oasis: Don’t Look Back In Anger" earn more than $22M in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their openi
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" passes "Avengers: Endgame"? (>$2.8B worldwide)
- Will Disney+ shut down by the end of 2026?
- Will Taika Waititi's Star Wars film come out before Grand Theft Auto 6?
- Will there be a "Wicked 3" movie?
- Will the next James Bond (after "No Time To Die") be played by a woman?
- Will a new numbered, mainline Star Wars movie be released before 2027?
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" breaks the record for the biggest domestic lifetime gross of all time?
- Will "The Odyssey" gross >$1 billion worldwide?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Disney+ App Downloads in September?
- Kalshi quota Above 119 al 45% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Disney+ App Downloads in September?
- Disney+ App Downloads in September dovrebbe risolversi il 8 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Disney+ App Downloads in September?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the Carbon Arc Disney+ App Downloads (September 2026) for September 2026 is the named outcome , then the market resolves to Yes.