Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 73%
Previsori
2
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 53 minuti fa
In ritardo12 ago 26, 16:29 UTC31 dic 38, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the next Non Republican president abolish ICE?
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Manifold MarketsWhen will a non-Republican candidate next win the presidency of the US?
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiWhich Senate Swing States will Republicans win?
PolymarketRegole
This market resolves YES if the next president to take office who is not a Republican formally abolishes the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agency through legislation or executive action.
- Abolition means the agency ceases to exist as a distinct entity, with its functions either eliminated or transferred to other agencies.
- The market resolves NO if such a president takes office and does not abolish ICE during their term(s).
- A Term is for the person who wins and their successor if they leave the office early.
- For example if someone is elected in 2028 and leaves in 2030 but ice is abolished in 2031, it would still resolve yes, as that person who succeeded them is considered as finishing the term (jan 2029-jan 2033) for this Market.
- (Identical market to: source market)