Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 82%
Previsori
0
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto31 mar 26, 16:22 UTC30 giu 27, 04:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the Myanmar junta have conducted airstrikes on Kachin rare earth mining sites by June 30, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the KIA-China rare earth trade have suffered a 30+ day halt by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the KIA-China rare earth trade have suffered a 30+ day halt by December 31, 2027?
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KalshiRegole
This market resolves YES if, by June 30, 2027, all Kachin State border crossings have been closed to rare earth trade for 30+ consecutive days due to a breakdown in the KIA-China commercial relationship.
- YES if by June 30, 2027:
- All Kachin border crossings closed to RE trade for 30+ consecutive days
- Closure caused by KIA-China diplomatic/commercial breakdown (not weather/logistics)
- No 30+ day consecutive halt has occurred by June 30, 2027
- Any closures were shorter than 30 days or caused by non-commercial factors
Mercati aperti
China
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- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Volume totale
- 35,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 100,1K €
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Volume totale
- 11,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 38,7K €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C+18.0pt56.1%
- 27°C-3.0pt19.6%
- 25°C-3.5pt15.9%
+8 altri esiti
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
- Volume totale
- 356,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 13,5K €
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- October 31+1.6pt98%
- December 31+1.6pt97%
- September 3095%
+3 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Volume totale
- 2,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 11K €
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the KIA-China rare earth trade have suffered a 30+ day halt by June 30, 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 82% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the KIA-China rare earth trade have suffered a 30+ day halt by June 30, 2027??
- Will the KIA-China rare earth trade have suffered a 30+ day halt by June 30, 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 30 giugno 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will the KIA-China rare earth trade have suffered a 30+ day halt by June 30, 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market resolves YES if, by June 30, 2027, all Kachin State border crossings have been closed to rare earth trade for 30+ consecutive days due to a breakdown in the KIA-China commercial relationship.