Will the global far-right alliances abolish and defunct all prediction markets before 2040?
CriptoOne-OffPoliticaRegolamentazioneGeopolitica13aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo, global far-right alliances will not achieve sufficient unified power to ban prediction markets. 68.7%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
2
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+18.7 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto1 nov 26, 08:19 UTC31 dic 39, 11:00 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
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PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- This is an independent multiple-choice market where each added answer resolves independently:
- Each answer corresponding to an action, entity, or condition will resolve YES if, prior to January 1, 2040, that condition is met according to credible international reporting, official government/treaty publications, or observable market operations.
- Otherwise, it resolves NO.
- If an option specifies that all prediction markets are abolished and rendered defunct globally:
- It resolves YES only if major public prediction market platforms (including centralized and decentralized platforms such as Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, or their primary successors) are universally banned, blocked, or effectively shut down worldwide through coordinated international action, and no major legally operating or actively trading public prediction market survives.
