Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 52.3%
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto24 apr 23, 16:42 UTC1 gen 30, 05:59 UTC
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Regole
Will the dollar's share of global foreign exchange reserves be above 55% in the 2029 data release or before?
- "Yes" argument: There are no remotely worthy successors.
- The next most common reserve, the Euro, is likely in worse shape than the dollar.
- "No" argument: "Proponents of [dollar] regime change point to the steady fall in the dollar’s share of central banks’ foreign exchange reserves.
- That stood at around 59% in 2022, down from over 70% in 1999, according to the International Monetary Fund." - https://www.reuters.com/breakingviews/global-markets-breakingviews-2023-02-28/
- Truth source will be IMF COFER survey data, or nearest equivalent if the IMF doesn't report on this by then.
