Will the Eritrean government collapse before or within 5 years of Isaias Afwerki's death?
One-OffPoliticaGeopolitica
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 55.4%
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4
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto26 mag 24, 03:54 UTC2 gen 50, 07:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegole
Isaias Afwerki has been the dictator of Eritrea since its founding in 1993.
- He runs the country completely on his own, does not have a clear second-in-command, and does not have a clear successor in place.
- If, after 5 years of his death, the PFDJ (ruling party) has lost power over the Eritrean government, the question will resolve YES.
- Otherwise, it will resolve NO.
- Edit: I'm so stupid, I forgot the possibility of it collapsing before his death.
- In such case, the question resolves YES.
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- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the Eritrean government collapse before or within 5 years of Isaias Afwerki's death??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 55% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the Eritrean government collapse before or within 5 years of Isaias Afwerki's death??
- Will the Eritrean government collapse before or within 5 years of Isaias Afwerki's death? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2050.
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- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Isaias Afwerki has been the dictator of Eritrea since its founding in 1993.