Will the effective altruism movement be more popular at close (2027) than as of market creation (2022)?
One-OffSociety & Culture1aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 68.4%
Previsori
134
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
21 ott 22, 15:29 UTC1 gen 28, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will trump say or write "effective altruism"?
Manifold MarketsWill Effective Altruism noticably segregate into multiple movements within this decade?
Manifold MarketsWill "[Fiction] [Comic] Effective Altruism and Rati..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsNew River Gorge recreation visits in 2026
KalshiMaine lobster landings in 2026
KalshiIs Earth flat?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves according to my subjective judgement.
- I will welcome stakeholder input when resolving the question but reserve the right to resolve contrary to the opinion of market participants if necessary.
- I reserve the right to bet on this market but tentatively expect to stop betting in the last two years (2026-2027).
- "Popular" being a loosely defined combination of public attention / resources, total adherents, and references in social discourse.
- Resolves as N/A if there doesn't seem to be a clear answer at close.
- Related markets from me on subjective popularity:
