Will The Democrats Win Every Presidential Election from 2028 to 2040?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezione14a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 03:37 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 83.5%
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14
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto29 mag 26, 19:47 UTC31 dic 40, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
Resolves yes if the Democrats win the electoral vote in the 2028, 2032, 2036, and 2040 Presidential elections.
- Resolves no as soon as a non-Democrat wins any of these elections.
- In the unlikely event that a candidate wins the majority of the electoral vote but isn't inaugurated due to faithless electors or other post-election shenanigans, the original electoral vote winner is counted as having "won." If no candidate wins a majority of the electoral vote and it goes to the House, the winner in the House is considered to have won.