Will Donald Trump have been the Republican nominee in every presidential election from 2016 until his death?
PoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElezione13a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 82.1%
Previsori
283
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto24 mag 23, 22:25 UTC1 gen 40, 07:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Donald Trump be the Republican nominee in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill an official manifold account make markets for every state in every presidential election up to 2040
Manifold MarketsWill Donald J. Trump win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExNH-01 Republican nominee?
KalshiDE-AL Republican nominee?
KalshiRegole
This market resolves as YES if Donald Trump, between 2016 and his death, is the Republican nominee in every presidential election.
- Otherwise, it resolves as NO.
- More specifically:
- This market resolves as YES if Donald Trump dies between May of 2023 and the 2024 Republican National Convention.
- This market resolves as YES if Donald Trump is selected as the Republican presidential nominee at the Republican National Convention in 2024 and dies before the 2028 Republican National Convention; the same holds for following election cycles, e.g. being the nominee in 2028 and dying before the 2032 RNC, etc. This market resolves as YES if the Republican Party ceases to exist, and Donald Trump was the nominee in every election from 2016 until the party's dissolution.
