Will the Dan Sullivan ‘impostor’ advance to the general election in the Alaska senate primary on August 18 2026?

PoliticaOne-OffUS Politics Elezione

Manifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Questo mercato si è risolto: Yes (46.3%)

Risolto: 19 ago 2026, 08:24

Risoluzione verificata dal provider

CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 53.7%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato ieri

Obsoleto

12 ago 26, 4:5518 ago 26, 23:59

Cronologia delle Probabilità

Yes46.3%

No53.7%

53.7%

Sì

46.3%

Regole

A nonpartisan primary election will be held on August 18, 2026, from which the top four candidates will advance to the general election, which will be conducted under ranked-choice voting.

Resolves yes if he (Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. (Republican)[a], former U.S. Forest Service employee[9][3] (no relation to the incumbent)) advances based on votes recieved in the primary.
Any legal challenge based on his name does not affect the outcome.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_Senate_election_in_Alaska

Will the Dan Sullivan ‘impostor’ advance to the general election in the Alaska senate primary on August 18 2026?

PoliticaOne-OffUS Politics Elezione

Manifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Questo mercato si è risolto: Yes (46.3%)

Risolto: 19 ago 2026, 08:24

Risoluzione verificata dal provider

CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 53.7%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato ieri

Obsoleto

12 ago 26, 4:5518 ago 26, 23:59

Cronologia delle Probabilità

Yes46.3%

No53.7%

53.7%

Sì

46.3%

Regole

A nonpartisan primary election will be held on August 18, 2026, from which the top four candidates will advance to the general election, which will be conducted under ranked-choice voting.

Resolves yes if he (Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. (Republican)[a], former U.S. Forest Service employee[9][3] (no relation to the incumbent)) advances based on votes recieved in the primary.
Any legal challenge based on his name does not affect the outcome.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_Senate_election_in_Alaska

Domande frequenti

Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the Dan Sullivan ‘impostor’ advance to the general election in the Alaska senate primary on August 18 2026??: Manifold Markets quota No al 54% al 20 agosto 2026.
Quando si risolve Will the Dan Sullivan ‘impostor’ advance to the general election in the Alaska senate primary on August 18 2026??: Will the Dan Sullivan ‘impostor’ advance to the general election in the Alaska senate primary on August 18 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 18 agosto 2026.
Come viene liquidato Will the Dan Sullivan ‘impostor’ advance to the general election in the Alaska senate primary on August 18 2026??: Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: A nonpartisan primary election will be held on August 18, 2026, from which the top four candidates will advance to the general election, which will be conducted under ranked-choice voting.

Will the Dan Sullivan ‘impostor’ advance to the general election in the Alaska senate primary on August 18 2026?

Will the Dan Sullivan ‘impostor’ advance to the general election in the Alaska senate primary on August 18 2026?

Domande frequenti

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