Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?
One-OffPoliticaUS PoliticsElezioneChessSport2aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 57.1%
Previsori
12
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto22 lug 25, 11:40 UTC25 set 28, 11:37 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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ForecastExRegole
The next federal election to elect the 49th Parliament of Australia must occur before the 23rd of September, 2028.
- If the ALP gets a majority of seats in the lower house, the House of Representatives, this market will resolve YES.
- Otherwise NO.
- To be clear, because they have to win a majority of seats for this market to resolve to YES, even if they form a minority government (e.g. as they did in 2010) with the help of crossbenchers declaring support on confidence and supply, this market will still resolve to NO.
