Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026
One-OffTecnologia3m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Sì 79.9%
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3
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto1 ago 26, 16:22 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026
Manifold MarketsWhen will the first fully driverless commercial ride-hailing trip take place in London?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla be the first to provide robotaxis in New York City?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketRegole
The service allows anyone within some area (possibly a restricted area, possibly not) to hail an autonomous Tesla.
- They are either not able to or not required to drive it themselves.
- Dec 3, 7:12pm: Will Tesla provide an autonomous driving service before the end of 2026 → Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026
- Update 2026-01-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will not resolve YES until the service has a larger number of cars operating in the area.
- A small pilot program where most hail attempts result in a safety driver does not meet the resolution requirements for an autonomous service.
- Update 2026-01-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the market to resolve YES, wait times must stay under 20 minutes over a practically broad area to count as the service being available.
Mercati aperti
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 Mln €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 802,6K €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volume totale
- 736,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 585,6K €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 altri esiti
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026?
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 80% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026?
- Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026 dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: The service allows anyone within some area (possibly a restricted area, possibly not) to hail an autonomous Tesla.