Will Talarico outperform Beto O'Rourke in the 2026 US Senate Election in Texas?
PoliticaQuarterlyUS PoliticsElezione1mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 70.7%
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29
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
5 mar 26, 19:59 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
If Talarico or Crockett wins the 2026 US Senate election in Texas, will governor Abbott refuse to certify that they won?
Manifold MarketsWill James Talarico win the Texas general election for US Senate in 2026?
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ForecastExRegole
In 2018 Beto O'Rourke closed the vote share gap to incumbent Ted Cruz to a mere 2.56% turning a safe seat into an unexpectedly close race.
- This market resolves YES if the difference between Talarico's and the winner's vote share in the 2026 US Senate Election in Texas is strictly less than that, and resolves NO otherwise
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Talarico outperform Beto O'Rourke in the 2026 US Senate Election in Texas??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 71% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Talarico outperform Beto O'Rourke in the 2026 US Senate Election in Texas??
- Will Talarico outperform Beto O'Rourke in the 2026 US Senate Election in Texas? dovrebbe risolversi il 3 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Talarico outperform Beto O'Rourke in the 2026 US Senate Election in Texas??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: In 2018 Beto O'Rourke closed the vote share gap to incumbent Ted Cruz to a mere 2.56% turning a safe seat into an unexpectedly close race.