Will Talarico outperform Beto O'Rourke in the 2026 US Senate Election in Texas?
PoliticaMonthlyPolitica USAElezioneElezioni di metà mandato USA 20267g
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 82.3%
Previsori
43
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 18 ore fa
Obsoleto5 mar 26, 19:59 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
If Talarico or Crockett wins the 2026 US Senate election in Texas, will governor Abbott refuse to certify that they won?
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ForecastExWill James Talarico outperform the polls?
KalshiWill James Talarico outperform the polls?
PredictItRegole
In 2018 Beto O'Rourke closed the vote share gap to incumbent Ted Cruz to a mere 2.56% turning a safe seat into an unexpectedly close race.
- This market resolves YES if the difference between Talarico's and the winner's vote share in the 2026 US Senate Election in Texas is strictly less than that, and resolves NO otherwise
