Will Syria hold legitimate national leadership elections before the end of 2026?
One-OffElezioneMedio OrienteGeopoliticaPolitica2m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 94.6%
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56
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binary
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Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto10 dic 24, 02:44 UTC1 gen 27, 12:59 UTC
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KalshiRegole
Syria underwent regime change on Dec 8th, 2024, when rebel forces took the capital, Damascus.
- The former Syrian Prime Minister, Mohammad Ghazi al-Jalali, has been appointed the head of the caretaker government during a transition period.
- al-Jalali called for free elections to be held, in which the Syrian people can choose who they want to lead their country.
- Will Syria hold such elections, before the end of 2026?
- This market will resolve YES on a free election that elects a head of government or head of state, or members of a legislature that chooses (or the leading coalition of which chooses) a head of government or head of state, from its members or otherwise, or an election that elects electors to elect a head of government or head of state, or any other system through which it can be reasonably said for the people to have freely elected a head of government or head of state.
- If the election is a sham, or if the leadership positions are merely symbolic and true power remains with an unelected leader, that won't be sufficient for a YES resolution.