Will Syria hold legitimate national leadership elections before the end of 2026?
One-OffElezioneMedio OrienteGeopoliticaPolitica2m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 94.6%
Previsori
56
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto10 dic 24, 02:44 UTC1 gen 27, 12:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Iran leadership change by which date?
Manifold MarketsIran leadership change by which date?
FutuurIsrael military action against Syria by which date?
PolymarketIsrael and Syria normalize relations by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran target Syria by which date?
PolymarketAhmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Syria underwent regime change on Dec 8th, 2024, when rebel forces took the capital, Damascus.
- The former Syrian Prime Minister, Mohammad Ghazi al-Jalali, has been appointed the head of the caretaker government during a transition period.
- al-Jalali called for free elections to be held, in which the Syrian people can choose who they want to lead their country.
- Will Syria hold such elections, before the end of 2026?
- This market will resolve YES on a free election that elects a head of government or head of state, or members of a legislature that chooses (or the leading coalition of which chooses) a head of government or head of state, from its members or otherwise, or an election that elects electors to elect a head of government or head of state, or any other system through which it can be reasonably said for the people to have freely elected a head of government or head of state.
- If the election is a sham, or if the leadership positions are merely symbolic and true power remains with an unelected leader, that won't be sufficient for a YES resolution.
