Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 07:03 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeSì 57.5%
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto9 giu 26, 13:52 UTC31 dic 31, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the new underground central through-station (Stuttgart Hauptbahnhof underground), which forms the core of the Stuttgart 21 project, officially opens and begins scheduled commercial passenger train operations on or before December 31, 2031.
- The market resolves to NO if the underground central through-station does not begin scheduled commercial passenger train operations by this date.
- Scheduled commercial passenger train operations are defined as regular, timetabled passenger trains (such as ICE, IC, or regional trains) actively carrying paying passengers through the new underground station.
- Partial openings of surrounding infrastructure, test runs, or preview events that do not include the official commencement of regular timetabled passenger service at the main underground station will not qualify for a YES resolution.
- The primary source of truth will be official announcements and timetables from Deutsche Bahn (DB) or the project's official portal Bahnprojekt Stuttgart-Ulm.
