Will SpaceX attempt to deploy Starlink satellites in the first fully-orbital Starship–SuperHeavy flight?
TecnologiaOne-OffSpace4mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 90.5%
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Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto24 mar 24, 07:01 UTC7 gen 27, 12:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will Starship first deploy a Starlink satellite to orbit?
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FutuurRegole
Resolves on whether the first Starship–Superheavy flight that is intended to be fully orbital will attempt to deliver one or more Starlink satellites to orbit.
- Success is not required, only that at the time the launch takes place, deploying a payload of one or more Starlinks to orbit is part of the flight plan.
- "Fully orbital" means that the vehicle at some point in the flight plan would be on a trajectory on which, without further engine burns, it would complete a full orbit around the Earth.
- The Starlink satellites(s) can be any model, as long as SpaceX calls them Starlink satellites.
- Launch counts as a vehicle lifting off the pad, however slightly, under the thrust of its engines.
- This market resolves upon (and stays open until) launch of the first flight intended to be fully orbital.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will SpaceX attempt to deploy Starlink satellites in the first fully-orbital Starship–SuperHeavy flight??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 91% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will SpaceX attempt to deploy Starlink satellites in the first fully-orbital Starship–SuperHeavy flight??
- Will SpaceX attempt to deploy Starlink satellites in the first fully-orbital Starship–SuperHeavy flight? dovrebbe risolversi il 7 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will SpaceX attempt to deploy Starlink satellites in the first fully-orbital Starship–SuperHeavy flight??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves on whether the first Starship–Superheavy flight that is intended to be fully orbital will attempt to deliver one or more Starlink satellites to orbit.