Previsione della comunità attuale
No 95.6%
Previsori
44
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 21 minuti fa
20 gen 24, 09:57 UTC31 dic 26, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
If asked, will the German Constitutional Court decide to ban the AfD?
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Manifold MarketsWill the German AfD be in power on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This question resolves to YES, if either the federal government or any of the two chambers of parliament formally ask the constitutional court to ban the far-right party AfD which is currently polling at >20%.
- Resolves to NO otherwise.
- https://manifold.markets/LudwigBald/if-asked-will-the-german-constituti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Somebody Try to Ban the AfD before 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 96% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Somebody Try to Ban the AfD before 2027??
- Will Somebody Try to Ban the AfD before 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Somebody Try to Ban the AfD before 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This question resolves to YES, if either the federal government or any of the two chambers of parliament formally ask the constitutional court to ban the far-right party AfD which is currently polling at >20%.