Will Sm2O3 Western (CIF Rotterdam) spot price exceed 25 USD/kg on October 31, 2026?
Materie primeDailyCina15g
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 15 ott 2026, 13:31 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 50.2%
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto8 apr 26, 14:27 UTC31 ott 26, 04:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Sm2O3 Western (CIF Rotterdam) spot price exceed 17 USD/kg on October 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Sm2O3 Western (CIF Rotterdam) spot price exceed 12 USD/kg on October 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Sm2O3 Western (CIF Rotterdam) spot price exceed 25 USD/kg on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Sm2O3 Western (CIF Rotterdam) spot price exceed 12 USD/kg on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsSMM CIF Rotterdam APT price on January 7, 2027
Kalshi8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job loss [See full title!]
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market resolves YES if Sm2O3 Western (CIF Rotterdam) spot price exceeds 25 USD/kg on October 31, 2026.
- What is being measured: Samarium oxide (Sm2O3, 3N) spot price in the Western market (CIF Rotterdam or equivalent ex-China Western assessment), USD/kg, on or nearest to October 31, 2026.
- YES if: Western Sm2O3 spot price >= 25 USD/kg on October 31, 2026 NO if: Western Sm2O3 spot price < 25 USD/kg on October 31, 2026
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- Argus REE samarium oxide — CIF Rotterdam or Western assessment
- Fastmarkets (ex-Metal Pages) Sm2O3 Western spot assessment
