Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 09:52 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeSì 57.1%
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2
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto8 apr 26, 14:23 UTC31 ott 26, 04:00 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 50 USD/kg on October 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 100 USD/kg on October 31, 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWill Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 200 USD/kg on December 31, 2026?
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Manifold MarketsRegole
This market resolves YES if Sm metal (Western) spot price exceeds 200 USD/kg on October 31, 2026.
- What is being measured: Samarium metal (Sm, 99%+ purity) spot price in the Western market (ex-China Western assessment), USD/kg, on or nearest to October 31, 2026.
- YES if: Western Sm metal spot price >= 200 USD/kg on October 31, 2026 NO if: Western Sm metal spot price < 200 USD/kg on October 31, 2026
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- Argus REE samarium metal — Western assessment
- Asian Metal — samarium metal Western or ex-China prices
