Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 55.8%
Previsori
2
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 36 minuti fa
8 apr 26, 14:23 UTC31 mar 27, 04:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 200 USD/kg on March 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 50 USD/kg on March 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 200 USD/kg on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 100 USD/kg on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsChina strategic oil inventories in Q3 2026
KalshiWill hafnium unwrought metal price exceed 4000 USD/kg on December 31, 2030?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market resolves YES if Sm metal (Western) spot price exceeds 100 USD/kg on March 31, 2027.
- What is being measured: Samarium metal (Sm, 99%+ purity) spot price in the Western market (ex-China Western assessment), USD/kg, on or nearest to March 31, 2027.
- YES if: Western Sm metal spot price >= 100 USD/kg on March 31, 2027 NO if: Western Sm metal spot price < 100 USD/kg on March 31, 2027
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- Argus REE samarium metal — Western assessment
- Asian Metal — samarium metal Western or ex-China prices
