Will Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 50 USD/kg on December 31, 2026?
Materie primeYearlyMacro ed economiaCina2m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 56%
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Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
8 apr 26, 14:23 UTC31 dic 26, 05:00 UTC
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This market resolves YES if Sm metal (Western) spot price exceeds 50 USD/kg on December 31, 2026.
- What is being measured: Samarium metal (Sm, 99%+ purity) spot price in the Western market (ex-China Western assessment), USD/kg, on or nearest to December 31, 2026.
- YES if: Western Sm metal spot price >= 50 USD/kg on December 31, 2026 NO if: Western Sm metal spot price < 50 USD/kg on December 31, 2026
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- Argus REE samarium metal — Western assessment
- Asian Metal — samarium metal Western or ex-China prices
