Previsione della comunità attuale
No 93.1%
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14
Tipo di domanda
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
27 nov 22, 21:05 UTC1 gen 00, 05:00 UTC
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https://scottaaronson.blog/?p=902
- This market resolves YES if such an award is paid.
- (Including if the amount changes, as long as it's clearly still the same award.) This does not include his related offer of "a smaller award for a discovery that dramatically weakens the possibility of scalable quantum computing while still leaving it open."
- It resolves NO if Scott announces that scalable quantum has been conclusivly demonstrated as possible and the award is impossible to win.
- If the award is invalidated for any other reason, this resolves N/A. For a market that includes his smaller awards, see here:
