Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 84.5%
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12
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto17 nov 23, 22:06 UTC1 gen 30, 04:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Geoff Anders (Director at Leverage Research) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Richard Hanania (political writer) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Justin Sun (founder of Tron) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsSam Altman replaced as OpenAI CEO this year?
KalshiSam Altman still CEO of OpenAI through the end of 2026?
FutuurWho will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
KalshiRegole
Resolves YES if Sam Altman is criminally charged with a felony crime in the US before 2030.
- Otherwise NO.
- See also: https://manifold.markets/post/felony-charges-in-crypto
- This question will use the earliest time the charges are officially announced or reported by reliable media publications.
- Timezone is Eastern time
- Grand jury indictment counts.
Mercati aperti
CryptoKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 9pm EDT?
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,100 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 566,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 548,4K €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.2pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 altri esiti
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.5pt100%
- 74,000+0.7pt100%
- 68,000+0.1pt100%
+8 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
- ↓ 77,500100%
- ↑ 77,500100%
+22 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume totale
- 12,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 248,7K €
- BTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 8?
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 9?
- What price will Ethereum hit in September?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
- Will BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Sam Altman be charged with a felony crime before 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 85% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Sam Altman be charged with a felony crime before 2030??
- Will Sam Altman be charged with a felony crime before 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Will Sam Altman be charged with a felony crime before 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if Sam Altman is criminally charged with a felony crime in the US before 2030.