Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 07:03 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 84.5%
Previsori
12
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto17 nov 23, 22:06 UTC1 gen 30, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Geoff Anders (Director at Leverage Research) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Howie Lempel (CEO at 80,000 Hours) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Richard Hanania (political writer) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Justin Sun (founder of Tron) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsSam Altman replaced as OpenAI CEO this year?
KalshiWhat will Sam Altman say during NYT DealBook Summit?
KalshiRegole
Resolves YES if Sam Altman is criminally charged with a felony crime in the US before 2030.
- Otherwise NO.
- See also: https://manifold.markets/post/felony-charges-in-crypto
- This question will use the earliest time the charges are officially announced or reported by reliable media publications.
- Timezone is Eastern time
- Grand jury indictment counts.
