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No 97.5%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto18 set 23, 07:29 UTC1 gen 27, 06:59 UTC
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What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in October 2026?
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Currently Rocket Lab is planning on sending an atomospheric probe to Venus with a target launch date of January 2025:
- https://venuscloudlife.com/small-mission/
- https://www.rocketlabusa.com/missions/upcoming-missions/first-private-mission-to-venus/
- This market resolve YES if Rocket Lab succesfully delivers any kind of atmospheric measurement probe into the Venusian atmosphere by the end of 2026.
- The probe does not need to successfully collect data or function; it just needs to actually enter the atmosphere.
- I have chosen a close time of 2026 to accomodate both the travel time to Venus and smaller delays.