Will Republicans win the 2026 midterms election?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezioneElezioni di metà mandato USA 202620g
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 15 ott 2026, 18:01 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 96%
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo7 ott 26, 18:48 UTC4 nov 26, 23:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
2026 Midterms Election Weirdness
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Manifold MarketsWhat will really exactly happen in the 2026 midterms election?
Manifold MarketsHow many Senate seats will Republicans win in the Midterms?
KalshiHow many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?
PolymarketHow many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms?
KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if the Republican Party wins and/or retains a majority of seats in both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate following the November 3, 2026 midterm elections.
- This market will resolve to NO if the Democratic Party wins a majority of seats in either the House of Representatives, the Senate, or both.
- Specific Resolution Rules:
- U.S. House of Representatives: A party is deemed to control the House if they win at least 218 of the 435 voting seats.
- U.S. Senate: A party is deemed to control the Senate if they secure at least 51 seats, or 50 seats if they hold the tie-breaking vote of the Vice President (the Republican Vice President holds the tie-breaker for the upcoming 120th Congress).