Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 77.4%
Previsori
29
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto19 lug 23, 04:24 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the energy biding zones for either Germany or France be split by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2026 PS–Place Publique presidential primary?
Manifold MarketsX banned in any European country by December 31?
PolymarketWill "Chat control" legislation be implemented in the EU by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the UK's social media ban take effect?
KalshiUK social media ban in effect by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves yes if, by the beginning of 2030, no major regulator (EU-based or US-based) has mandated that a subsidiary split from Alphabet.
- No otherwise
Mercati aperti
EuropePOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.1%
- Édouard Philippe28.9%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.4%
+38 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 114,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 670,1K €
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson-4.0pt67.3%
- Ulf Kristersson+2.0pt31.7%
- Ebba Busch+0.5pt1%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)79%
- New People (NL)-0.3pt17%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)3%
+5 altri esiti
POLYMARKETSweden Parliamentary Election Winner
- Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)-0.3pt99%
- Sweden Democrats (SD)+0.1pt1%
- Moderate Party (M)+0.1pt0%
+6 altri esiti
POLYMARKETSweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Sweden Democrats (SD)-0.5pt76.2%
- Moderate Party (M)23.8%
- Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)-0.1pt0%
+6 altri esiti
KALSHIShymanovich vs Sanchez
- Iryna Shymanovich70.3%
- Ana Sofia Sanchez29.7%
- Volume totale
- 20,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 20,2K €
- Guadalajara Open Akron, Qualification: Iryna Shymanovich vs Ana Sofia Sanchez
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place
- Berlin State Elections: Grüne # of seats?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Vote Share?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?
- Next Regional Board Chair of Västmanland?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 4th Place
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will regulators force a split in Alphabet before 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 77% al 12 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will regulators force a split in Alphabet before 2030??
- Will regulators force a split in Alphabet before 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will regulators force a split in Alphabet before 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves yes if, by the beginning of 2030, no major regulator (EU-based or US-based) has mandated that a subsidiary split from Alphabet.