Previsione della comunità attuale
Sì 61.9%
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto8 feb 26, 22:03 UTC14 ago 29, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the UK introduce proportional representation for general elections before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the UK have Proportional Representation of the House of Commons by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
Polymarket2028 Democratic presidential nominee
KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Reform UK's next published manifesto (after their 2024 manifesto "Our Contract with You") does not include a commitment to proportional representation or a referendum on PR.
- It resolves NO if the manifesto maintains or reaffirms such a commitment.
- Resolution will be determined by examining the official manifesto document published by Reform UK ahead of their next general election campaign.
- The manifesto should be checked against Reform UK's 2024 manifesto, which called for a referendum on PR.
- Reform UK supports electoral reform, favouring a switch to a proportional voting system; in their 2024 manifesto, they called for a referendum on PR.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+3.0pt76%
- New People (NL)-1.9pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)2%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 27,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 922,6K €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.6%
- Gavin Newsom14.6%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 191,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+3.0pt89%
- Republican Party-3.0pt11%
- Volume totale
- 27,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 627,1K €
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Gavin Newsom-0.2pt16%
- Jon Ossoff+0.3pt16%
+48 altri esiti
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027+1.0pt14%
- December-1.0pt5%
- July0%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+4.0pt56.4%
- D-House, R-Senate31.7%
- Republicans sweep-3.0pt10.9%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
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- Presidential Election Winner 2028
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- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Reform drop their commitment to Proportional Representation in their next manifesto??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 62% al 17 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Reform drop their commitment to Proportional Representation in their next manifesto??
- Will Reform drop their commitment to Proportional Representation in their next manifesto? dovrebbe risolversi il 14 agosto 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will Reform drop their commitment to Proportional Representation in their next manifesto??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria