Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 85.8%
Previsori
20
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto21 ott 26, 11:53 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
US Gov confirms PHP2Shell exploited by which date?
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Manifold MarketsWhat will be the impacts of php2shell in next 6 months
Manifold MarketsWill there be more than 1 year of more than 100 attributable agentic human deaths from AI before a human gigadeath event
Manifold MarketsWill AI cause an existential catastrophe (Bostrom or Ord definition) which doesn't result in human extinction?
Manifold MarketsBitcoin price at the end of 2026
KalshiRegole
This market resolves YES if there is credible legacy media reporting that CVE-2026-109618 / CVE-2026-109619 AKA 'php2shell' abuse leads to the death of at least two people.
- Examples: A hospital is hacked and life support systems are shut down.
- Industrial equipment is breached, causing an explosion that kills workers
- Weapons system breached, leading to a munitions explosion causing loss of life.
- Basically, if a legacy media org reports this exploit causes two people to die, this market resolves YES.