Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 91.3%
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto3 mag 24, 12:09 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the population of the USA decline in the year 2050?
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Manifold MarketsRegole
According to Pew Research Center, using survey data from April 2023, 62% of Americans own a pet.
- https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2023/07/07/about-half-us-of-pet-owners-say-their-pets-are-as-much-a-part-of-their-family-as-a-human-member/
- When Pew Research surveys this question in 2025 or 2026, will the number decline?
- Fractional percentages will be rounded to the nearest percentage.
- If the percentage of US pet owners is 61% or lower, this question resolves YES; otherwise NO.
- If Pew Research Center does not survey this question in 2025 or 2026, I will instead attempt to use data from the American Pet Products Association.
