Will OpenAI or Anthropic file for bankruptcy before September 30, 2027?
Operazioni societarieOne-OffIA11m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 93.8%
Previsori
2
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 22 ore fa
Obsoleto13 set 26, 12:42 UTC30 set 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
Resolves YES if either OpenAI or Anthropic files for bankruptcy (Chapter 7 or Chapter 11 in the US, or an equivalent insolvency proceeding elsewhere) before September 30, 2027.
- Fire sales, acquisitions, restructurings, or down rounds that do not involve a formal insolvency filing resolve NO.
- The entity means the main company and its principal operating subsidiaries as of September 2026.
- Context: a friend claimed on September 13, 2026 that absent regulatory capture, OpenAI or Anthropic will go bankrupt within a year.
- I don't buy it.
- Making the market so we can bet on it.
