Will One Nation’s primary vote share in the next federal election exceed 15%?
PoliticaOne-OffElezioneMedio Oriente1a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 56%
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Aggiornato 21 ore fa
Obsoleto14 ott 26, 02:48 UTC31 mag 28, 23:59 UTC
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Pauline Hanson and One Nation have been consistently vocal in their support for Israel (wearing Israeli flag scarves in the Senate, condemning Hamas, criticising Labor’s position, etc.).
- Labor currently holds government and has taken a more critical stance toward Israel at times.
- This market resolves YES if One Nation’s national primary vote at the next federal election is above 15%.
- It resolves NO if it is 15% or below.
- Resolution source: official Australian Electoral Commission results.
