Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 06:50 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 88.5%
Previsori
15
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto23 giu 23, 00:36 UTC1 gen 30, 08:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will any serving head of state/government of a UN-recognised country become vegan by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill I become vegan/vegetarian/pescatarian before 2030?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets October 24 - October 26, 2026?
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PolymarketIs Cheryl Scott from ABC CHICAGO pregnant????!?!??? 🤰
Manifold MarketsLyon curfew effectively lifted by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves YES if strong evidence comes out that Neil deGrasse Tyson went vegan, for any reason, before 2030.
- An example of strong evidence is him announcing it publicly.
- More specific criteria:
- He has to be vegan for at least 30 days continuously.
- The 30th day must be before 2030.
- I'm only counting eating foods that are typically considered vegan, not additional things like avoiding leather or animal-tested cosmetics.
