Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Montenegro be a member of the European Union on 1st January 2028?

Manifold Markets quota Yes al 55.7% al 27 ottobre 2026.

Will Montenegro be a member of the European Union on 1st January 2028

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

Sì 55.7%

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binary

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Play-money forecasting platform

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Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 8 ore fa

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22 set 24, 20:24 UTC1 gen 28, 23:59 UTC

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Recently Montenegrin President Yakov Milatovic declared a political goal to be a member state by 2028

https://www.bta.bg/en/news/balkans/691717-president-radev-bulgaria-supports-montenegro-s-european-integration
Of the states negotiating for membership, Montenegro has been going on the longest.
It is the only state which has met the interim benchmarks for negotiation.
https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/press/press-releases/2024/06/26/sixteenth-meeting-of-the-accession-conference-with-montenegro-at-ministerial-level/
This market will resolve YES if Montenegro is a member state of the EU on 1st Jan 2028.