Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 96.5%
Previsori
30
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto22 lug 24, 10:55 UTC1 nov 70, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez ever become the President of the USA?
Manifold MarketsWill Nikki Haley ever become the President of the USA?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom ever become the President of the USA?
Manifold MarketsWill Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before 2045?
KalshiWill Nick Fuentes become President of the United States before 2045?
KalshiWill Faker become president of South Korea by the end of the year?
PolymarketRegole
This will resolve to YES when Michelle Obama becomes the President of the USA.
- This will resolve to NO when it is no longer technically possible
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,1 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,6 Mln €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 984,1K €
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Michelle Obama ever become the President of the USA??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 97% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Michelle Obama ever become the President of the USA??
- Will Michelle Obama ever become the President of the USA? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 novembre 2070.
- Come viene liquidato Will Michelle Obama ever become the President of the USA??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This will resolve to YES when Michelle Obama becomes the President of the USA.