Previsione della comunità attuale
No 71.5%
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto1 ott 26, 10:45 UTC15 ott 26, 22:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will "Announcing the ARC White-Box Estimation Challenge" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
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PolymarketRegole
Leaderboard: https://www.aicrowd.com/challenges/arc-white-box-estimation-challenge-2026/leaderboards?round=phase-2
- Winning is defined as getting 1st place in the final phase (phase 2) of the competition linked above. "1st place" here means on the final private evaluation the decides the prize money.
- "Marius Binner" is defined as this account: https://www.aicrowd.com/participants/marius_binner