Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 19:26 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeSì 65.1%
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto18 lug 26, 14:27 UTC31 dic 99, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, at any point prior to January 1, 2100 (12:00 AM UTC), the prediction market platform Manifold (currently located at manifold.markets) permanently shuts down.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO on January 1, 2100.
- "Permanently shut down" is defined by meeting at least one of the following conditions:
- The platform's parent company (Manifold Markets, Inc. or its corporate successor) formally dissolves, goes bankrupt, or liquidates, and the prediction market platform ceases operations with no successor platform taking its place.
- The platform's web domain and services remain entirely offline or non-functional for a continuous period of at least 12 consecutive months, with no official public statement from the operators indicating an intent to resume service.
